Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.037310 0.040306 0.043452 0.047005 0.050913 0.055088 0.059892
2025-03-30 0.032236 0.036423 0.041062 0.046602 0.053067 0.060401 0.069397
2025-04-06 0.028502 0.033282 0.038794 0.045660 0.054039 0.064005 0.076863
2025-04-13 0.026456 0.031743 0.038044 0.046175 0.056487 0.069261 0.086489
2025-04-20 0.024602 0.030193 0.037042 0.046148 0.058082 0.073395 0.094870
2025-04-27 0.023340 0.029229 0.036625 0.046727 0.060371 0.078460 0.104773
2025-05-04 0.021937 0.027954 0.035674 0.046471 0.061445 0.081880 0.112599
2025-05-11 0.020754 0.026867 0.034867 0.046300 0.062549 0.085335 0.120667
2025-05-18 0.019674 0.025837 0.034048 0.046019 0.063423 0.088455 0.128423
2025-05-25 0.018769 0.024983 0.033401 0.045907 0.064488 0.091869 0.136845
2025-06-01 0.017768 0.023934 0.032412 0.045221 0.064625 0.093854 0.143126
2025-06-08 0.016800 0.022877 0.031347 0.044343 0.064386 0.095201 0.148424
2025-06-15 0.016027 0.022066 0.030603 0.043909 0.064816 0.097649 0.155819
2025-06-22 0.015318 0.021313 0.029899 0.043490 0.065228 0.100078 0.163382
2025-06-29 0.014538 0.020418 0.028939 0.042611 0.064833 0.101130 0.168575
2025-07-06 0.014174 0.020119 0.028852 0.043083 0.066646 0.105977 0.181026
2025-07-13 0.013709 0.019645 0.028471 0.043057 0.067618 0.109433 0.191199
2025-07-20 0.013411 0.019410 0.028441 0.043590 0.069553 0.114691 0.205296
2025-07-27 0.012952 0.018904 0.027964 0.043354 0.070139 0.117563 0.214966
2025-08-03 0.012539 0.018453 0.027550 0.043197 0.070841 0.120678 0.225407
2025-08-10 0.012129 0.017990 0.027094 0.042938 0.071338 0.123431 0.235349
2025-08-17 0.011777 0.017601 0.026741 0.042836 0.072103 0.126734 0.246767
2025-08-24 0.011335 0.017054 0.026104 0.042204 0.071851 0.128039 0.253953